Indian telecom is on a fast track. Service providers are busy setting up
world-class infrastructure, which will help in realizing the objectives of NTP
’99. From a tele-density of 4.4 as on 31 March 2002, it aims at a tele-density
of 7 by 2005, and 15 by 2010. Accordingly, the country should be aiming for a
tele-density of around 10 by 2007. But, the Tenth Five Year Plan projections for
telecom are on a higher side–to achieve an overall tele-density of 11.5, with
a tele-density of 3 in the rural areas by 31 March 2007. The target may be
achieved only through active involvement of both the private and public sector
companies.
For the Tenth Plan (2002-07), the Working Group on Telecom has projected that
India will add around 82.7 million connections (fixed as well as wireless),
taking the overall tally to 127.82 million connections as on 31 March 2007. It
is projected that this will translate into a tele-density of 11.5 from a present
tele-density of 4.4, an increase of 7.1. Fixed connections will contribute
around 52 million lines whereas mobile ones will contribute around 31 million
lines. On the cellular services front, private operators will have a larger
share and will contribute around 58.7 percent of the overall cellular pie,
whereas on the fixed services front, the private operator will contribute only
25 percent. On the fixed services front, the incumbent operators–BSNL and MTNL–will
have a dominant market share, as they have a large network and will contribute
around 75 percent of the overall pie.
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Towards formulation of the Tenth Five Year Plan, Planning Commission
constituted a Steering Committee on Communications and Information whose basic
objective was to make recommendations on various policy matters relevant to the
sector. The Steering Committee was initially headed by Montek Singh Ahluwalia
and later by NK Singh, member, Planning Commission. The NK Singh Committee
recently submitted a report to the Prime Minister.
The objective of the committee was to make recommendations on the various
policy matters relevant to the formulation of the Tenth Five Year Plan.
According to the report, the Telecom Working Group of the Steering Committee
suggested that an investment of Rs 165,216 crore would be required if the
country wants to achieve a tele-density of 11.5. The investment is huge for both
public and the private sectors. It seems the private sector has to contribute 30
percent of the overall requirement, which is roughly around Rs 50,000 crore. The
rural requirement is also a sizable portion and comes to around Rs 44,160 crore.
The quantum of investment in telecom is huge and the role of private sector
cannot be negated. Therefore, the role of the private sector is all the more
important if the government wants to achieve the targets of the Tenth Plan.
According to NK Singh Committee, the private sector has to provide an estimated
investment of around Rs 50,000 crore. So to help the private sector generate
more funds, the ministry is looking at two measures–increasing the FDI limit,
and reduction in revenue share.
Both these measures will have a positive impact on the industry and help the
industry to achieve the objectives of NTP 99.
FDI and Related Issues
India gets an FDI of $4 billion i.e. Rs 19,600 crore every year. As a
percentage of GDP, it is 0.5 percent as compared to China’s 4.7 percent.
According to sources in the ministry, it is felt that an increase in FDI will
help in supplementing the resources of the domestic private sector.
Mahajan Speakt |
There has been unanimity in the group of ministers on increasing FDI cap in telecom, but concerns are about management control |
In terms of FDI approval, telecom is the second largest sector after energy.
Still, the actual inflow of FDI, in India, in the telecom sector from August
1991 to November 2001 has been to the tune of around Rs 8,122 crore only.
At present, in India, FDI in telecom is limited to 49 percent for basic and
mobile services. NK Singh Committee has proposed to increase the cap from 49
percent to 74 percent. And it seems that ministry for communications and IT is
moving at a very fast pace on this front. Recently, while addressing the Global
Telecom Summit organized by FICCI in Bangalore, Pramod Mahajan, minister for
communications and IT, said, "Issues of management control among telecom
firms need to be sorted out before any final decision can be taken on permitting
an increase from 49 percent to 74 percent. We will have to decide whether
management of such companies should remain in Indian hands or in foreign
hands."
There has been unanimity in the group of ministers on increasing of FDI cap
in telecom, but the basic concern is about the management control. The
communications and IT ministry is considering to make an amendment in the
Section 87 of the Companies Act, along with amendments in Sections 78 and 208,
to ensure that control of management remains in Indian hands.
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Amending the Section 87 of the Companies Act, which talks about preference
shareholders also getting voting rights under certain conditions and therefore,
has implication on management control. The amendment provides for limiting the
voting rights of foreign investors to the FDI cap of 49 percent even though
dividend remained unpaid in terms of Section 87. This amendment will help in
ensuring management control with the Indian shareholders. Amendment of Section
78 will act as an incentive to foreign investor as they are assured of return on
their investment and will also facilitate Indian company to retain control by
making payment through security premium account.
For Private players... | |
The private sector has to contribute 30 percent of the overall investment requirement | |
This roughly works out at Rs 50,000 crore | |
The government is actively planning to reduce the existing revenue share | |
Towards this end, it proposes to bring down the USO component and administrative cost |
Amendment to Section 208 will help in providing payment of interest not
exceeding 12 percent to the preference share capital.
Revenue Sharing
The government is actively planning to reduce the existing revenue share of
12 percent for category A circles, 10 percent for category B circles, and 8
percent for category C circles. The NK Singh Committee’s proposals talk about
the need for reducing the revenue share. The revenue share comprises the USO
component and administrative costs. For category A and B circles, the ministry
is planning to bring the revenue share down by reducing the USO component and
administrative cost. For category C circles, the government is thinking of doing
away with the USO obligation altogether. The government is thinking of a revenue
share of 8 percent for category A as well as B circles and 5 percent revenue
share for category C circles.
It seems there has been a mismatch between the industry associations and the
government on the revenue-sharing front. The industry has been talking about
further lowering of revenue share from 8 percent to 6.5 percent for category A
circles, and from 8 percent to 6 percent for category B circles. Even 5-8-8
percent revenue share for category C, B, and A circles, respectively, will help
companies to become profitable at the earliest and it will also help in lowering
of prices if these benefits are passed on to the end consumer. In view of this
development, there is a need for TRAI to work out afresh the USO regime and the
revenue share, so that revenue share can be implemented at the earliest.
Conclusion
Sure, the change in FDI and revenue sharing will have a good impact on
service providers in India, but will the consumer get some benefit in the
bargain resulting to further drop in prices? Will India get enough revenue from
reduction in USO obligation to help her achieve the rural tele-density of 3 by
March 2007? It is expected that there will be a huge shortfall as only Rs 1,800
crore is likely to be accrued through universal service levy (USL) in 2002-03,
according to the 34th report of the Standing Committee on IT in the present
circumstances. Even after taking into consideration an increase in revenue of
service providers, the USL levy collection for the Tenth Five Year Plan would
not be more than Rs 10,000 to 12,000 crore, under the present circumstances.
But, if there is a reduction in USO obligation, the USL levy collected from
service providers will decrease from the expected level of Rs 10,000 crore.
Estimated |
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2002-07 | Total | Public Sector* |
Private Sector |
Rural Network |
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Total | 165,216 | 115,654 | 49,562 | 44,160 | |||
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The rural network is going to need around Rs 44,160 crore. So who is going to
make up for the huge shortfall? The NK Singh Committee Report also talks about
earmarking a percentage of turnover of companies for financing the R&D
corpus. How will the policy makers try to ensure this, knowing that India’s
telecom manufacturing industry has not been doing well?