A lcatel, the 12.5 billion equip ment vendor which has been operating in
India for over 20 years, but has never really been on a growth spree, has now
chalked out new, aggressive and daring plans to try and get the a share of the
big Indian telecom pie.
The first and the most significant activity of its multi-pronged strategy
will be to get focused on technologies and operators. Everything else will
follow from there. The company is very clear that, like its strategy in any
other country, it will bet on two technologies and two operators. "In
India, Alcatel has decided that GSM and DSL broadband will be its technology
focus", Etienne Fouques, president, mobile communications group at Alcatel,
announced to a select media group from India in his plush office at the Paris
headquarters of Alcatel.
There are plans to take people off from old traditional technologies and in
their place get more people to work for emerging technologies such as GSM and
DSL broadband. In fact, while doing this the people strength of the company will
go up from 600 to over 1000 very soon. While Alcatel has revealed that the two
technologies are going to be GSM and DSL broadband, it does not want share the
names of the two operators it plans to primarily partner with. "BSNL,
because of its focus on GSM as well as its big plans for broadband, will surely
be one service provider Alcatel will like to have on its side," says a
senior industry guru from rival Ericsson.
One look at the GSM expansion plans of BSNL, an operator which not just
Alcatel but all equipment vendors keep in mind when making business plans, is
enough to understand Alcatel’s hopes from India. BSNL plans to spend Rs 7000
crores to buy GSM network equipment to take up its GSM subscriber base to 25
million by 2005 end. On the DSL broadband front, Alcatel wants to carve its
success through efforts to provide broadband Internet at reasonable price so as
to reach about 20 percent of Internet users. It plans to focus on applications
such as video on demand, e-working, and also getting the content in place. The
preferred targets would be enterprise users and users in cities and big towns.
"Such straightjacket focus can exclude Alcatel from opportunities
outside GSM and broadband," opines a senior expert from Lucent, another
Alcatel rival.
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While industry critics may argue that such strict focus in an emerging market
may prove to be a hurdle for growth, the general consensus is that Alcatel is
betting on winners and that such focus will also have its own advantages.
Alcatel, however is being more cautious. "This does not mean that we do not
have the capability to offer other technologies or other operators. Our entire
portfolio of products and services will be available to Indian operators,"
adds Fouques.
The second strategy is to get into a revenue sharing mode with service
providers. This means that Alcatel will puts its fate alongside its clients or
the operators, and get a share of their revenues. The company plans to start
with the GSM operators, where it has a very small market share but which is the
most rapidly growing markets in the telecom sector. According to unconfirmed
reports, Alcatel is already discussing revenue sharing with BSNL and Reliance.
Alcatel is also considering this model for broadband services, as and when those
services get launched by the big players.
In fact, the company says that it is looking beyond just the revenue share,
it is also considering organizing financing for their buyers. While the company
refused to share the details of the model, one industry expert calls Alcatel
daring and defines this type of a model a little risky, considering that Indian
telecom is still undergoing teething issues. Slightly unrelated, but there have
been instances in the past where service providers have told equipment vendors
to wait for payments till revenues started flowing in but ultimately the service
provider wound up and the equipment vendor burnt its fingers badly. Alcatel
itself is a well-known example of such a disaster. "Our strategy will
primarily be to go after established players," says Olivier Picard,
president, Alcatel, who is confident that the company will be able to get over
20 percent market share. A tall order, considering the fact that today they are
almost negligible in GSM networks market. The company claims that in the
emerging countries Alcatel is among the top four GSM-equipment players.
Telecom outsourcing is another opportunity, which Alcatel will want to tap to
really get into a high-growth mode in India. At a time when Ericsson has
actually bagged a huge network management outsourcing deal from Bharti, Alcatel
is also eyeing that route to a quick market capture. Frederic Rose, president of
Alcatels’ integration and services division, says that Alcatel will also be
actively exploring such outsourcing jobs to India. Rose claims that Alcatel has
real-life cases where, by taking up outsourcing jobs, they have brought down not
only the operators’ headcount but also its opex by as much as 20 percent.
"We are one of the worlds biggest telecom outsourcing companies worldwide,
with over 35 percent market share," asserts Rose. "A lot of these
outsourcing contracts are with service providers where there is no Alcatel
equipment," he adds. According to Alcatel sources, talks are going on with
Reliance. Outsourcing might be a little too early for India, especially for
incumbent operators such as BSNL, but surely Alcatel is gearing up for an
opportunity that everyone admits to being huge.
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Alcatel’s designs on India do not revolve only around its plan to lure
operators by offering revenue share and financing, identifying preferred
technology and service provider, and outsourcing. There is another front too
which this company plans to attack, in order to enhance its position in the
Indian market vis à vis other telecom majors such as Motorola, Lucent,
Ericsson, and Siemens. One significant strategy is the message that Alcatel’s
top management wants to give to its own people–that it believes India is going
to be the growth engine. "India is one of the most promising telecom
markets in the world today. This country will play a major role for Alcatel
worldwide," adds Picard. The India team size is likely to double in the
coming months and a new development center is being planned in Bangalore. The
top management’s focus and confidence on India is expected to percolate down
the line and enthuse the local team to get more aggressive in the market. "Alcatel’s
top management is convinced that India is not just a big market but also a key
market," believes Ravi Sharma, MD and VP (Indian Subcontinent), Alcatel
India.
To the question, "With these strategies chalked out, what is the likely
growth in Alcatel’s India business this year, compared to last year?"
Ravi Sharma is ready with his answer, "We want to be significant players in
GSM, broadband, and transmission equipment. And in fixed-line switching
equipment, we want to be able to defend our 50 percent market share." The
optimism has already percolated down. Considering that Alcatel already has
service providers such as BSNL, MTNL, Bharti, Tata Teleservices, VSNL, and
Reliance as its customers, it’s now only a question of successfully going back
to them again with the new strategy.
Ibrahim Ahmad in Paris