Intense competition and global downturn has started taking its toll on
revenues of telecom companies in India. Indian telcos, which have shown benefits
of the outsourcing model to players in emerging markets, cannot be isolated
during the global meltdown. The ongoing liquidity crunch has already forced
several telcos to take a re-look at their 3G spectrum bidding strategies.
Data released by the Telecom Regulatory Authority of India shows that ARPU of
telecom firms has plummeted in the first two quarters of 2008. Gross revenue has
also declined by 1.3% due to poor performance of state-run telcos. Competition
among operators led to decline in ARPU. ARPU for GSM players declined by 9.8%
from Rs 264 in March 2008 to Rs 239 in June 2008, while ARPU for CDMA operators
dropped by 12.6% from Rs 159 to Rs 139.
The net profit of Idea Cellular was down by 45.23% during the second quarter
of fiscal 2009. Revenues were marginally up by 5.75%. Higher operating expenses
including steep personnel costs, network operating expenses, and advertising and
promotion spends primarily affected profitability. Wage hike has also
contributed significantly. Expansion in Mumbai, Bihar, Orissa and Tamil Nadu
circles has resulted in higher networking expenses.
Despite the recession, operators are gearing up to launch their services in
new locations and more than half of the new subscriber additions are coming from
rural areas where scope for better ARPU is bleak for the time being. Launch of
services in new locations means increase in operating expenses. First, the new
circles will incur higher costs to improve operators' distribution network.
These expenses contribute to higher promotion and subscriber acquisition costs.
New operators are trying to find innovative ways to mop up customers and
boost revenue streams. Public sector operators are getting feelers from new
players to share their network, among other things. Sharing of infrastructure
will boost the topline and bottomline of both existing and new operators. In
order to maintain the financial health of operators, the government can announce
more incentives for sharing and utilizing green technology options.
Cost and RoI is driving telcos to evaluate their OSS/BSS strategy. Telcos are
looking to reduce investment and maintenance on separate voice and data
networks, and unify communications by delivering voice, data, e-commerce and
content over a hybrid network. It is imperative that telcos start thinking about
billing platforms as an investment. They should also identify the negative cost
impact that legacy systems and fragmented business processes have on the
organization.
Indian telcos grew in a cost sensitive market. Some of the operators are
still waiting to see the peak of the downturn. They want telecom equipment
prices to come down further. They want to bargain hard. The new initiatives will
see the light of day if the government can support new and existing players in
the current situation.
Baburajan K
baburajank@cybermedia.co.in