The
Voice-over-IP (VoIP) or Internet/IP telephony enables voice
calls and fax transmission over data–predominantly IP–networks.
Beginning with hobbyists, who used Internet to make cheap long
distance calls, IP telephony has slowly grown and created a
revolution–or storm–in the telecom world. Most countries
faced with the prospect of unchecked mushrooming of VoIP
operators have preferred to legalize it by suitable licensing
process. And that includes Asian countries like China, Japan,
Singapore, etc.
The revenue generated
through IP telephony traffic is expected to reach $10 billion by
2001, accounting for almost 25 percent (presently believed to be
around 5 percent) of international calls. Another indicator of
this growth is the world-wide market for IP telephony gateways,
which has increased from $250 million in 1998 to $500 million in
1999, and is expected to reach $2 billion in 2001 (as reported
by Frost & Sullivan). The aggressiveness of the players is
apparent from the fact that carrier class H.323 VoIP gateways
were the give-aways at Telecom’99 at Geneva to ISPs and other
competitive carriers. The aim was to make them jump-start and
encourage usage and drive the market. Of course, it was believed
to come with a commitment of wholesale purchase of about
2,50,000 minutes per gateway per month.
Need to
Differentiate
Initially, many considered VoIP as a dubious service. In the
connectionless packet-switched world of IP*–as against the
traditional circuit-switched networks–the packetization breaks
a conversation into packets of data and sends them over many
routes (a best-effort delivery vehicle provided by IP) for
reassembling at the other end. This obviously does not work
perfectly due to problems like delay, jitter between packets and
even loss of packets. And hence, the voice quality suffers.
Despite the limitations, the world-wide market is booming as
this technology is being capitalized upon more and more due to
the falling prices. IP networks being far more bandwidth
efficient, the commoditization of bandwidth has further helped
the process.
However, VoIP, with poorer
voice quality compared to that of Public Switched Telephone
Network (PSTN), requires to be positioned differently in the
marketplace. VoIP marketing has many challenges–not only
setting up the necessary all-digital networks, but also putting
resellers in place.
IP
Wholesaling: A Golden Opportunity
A new breed is now emerging on the horizon–wholesalers dealing
in Internet telephony minutes. They may also facilitate traffic
over the public Internet network or private data networks among
affiliates who may form a network of IP telephony gateways–some
being called originators and some terminators, or both. The
wholesaler sells them minutes at wholesale prices purchasing
unutilized minutes–mostly during off-peak hours–from
carriers at attractive prices. According to Phillips Tarifica,
"IP wholesaling will be bigger in Asia than possibly
anywhere else in the world. Although the opportunity will play a
role in the short term, it is the sheer volume of traffic,
combined with creeping liberalization, that is making the Asia
Pacific region a very attractive place to do business." It
appears to offer, by all accounts, a golden opportunity.
Fresh Look at
Business Plans
IP telephony is roaring and is threatening the domestic and
international revenue bases of incumbent carriers as well as new
service providers. The big operators are expected to lose
hundreds of millions of dollars every year. Their responses have
been varied from doing nothing to embracing IP telephony and
having a fresh look at their business plans as traditional
models for costing/pricing and international accounting rates
may not work anymore. Networks using IP platforms cost much less
and are believed to be less cumbersome to maintain. It is
easier, cheaper, and faster to enter a new marketplace.
As billions of dollars
worth of circuit-switched networks are at stake, strategic
decisions are required before another billions are invested in
packet-switched networks including for access and call
completion between networks. Regulations need to be rewritten.
Business processes need to be reengineered to meet the new
scenario.
As the amount of data
traffic has caught up with, and is even surpassing, voice (see
graph), it makes all the sense for voice to travel on the
high-speed, high-bandwidth multimedia transport networks rather
than pushing data into conventional networks.
Many
Challenges Ahead
Besides improving voice quality, various conventional
value-added services like call transfer, call forward, and ISDN
services need to be replicated over data networks too. And then
there is the issue of rapidly catching Intelligent Network (IN)
services. New applications may be created and marketed. The
billing systems for the packetized world also need to be
different. They could be even simpler than for the conventional
voice systems. Instead of adopting the conventional method of
billing by minutes, the new paradigm will require billing by
packets. Systems will require granularity into network elements
that can extract, collect, and consolidate information about
various services. As IP networks become more intelligent, it
will be possible to guarantee end-to-end Quality of Service (QoS)
for IP traffic, besides guaranteed bandwidth.
India Likely
to Move
The usual barriers to introduction of newer technologies
generally cannot stop the technology. Ultimately, people do
understand the benefits of technology and embrace it. India too,
is finally serious about introducing this latest technological
marvel. And why not? It is the consumer who is ultimately going
to benefit.
*
additional reading: "Business of Telecommunication" by
the author
(published by Tata McGraw-Hill).