As the name implies, 2.5G technology was conceived as a stepping-stone from
2nd Generation (2G) i.e. GSM to 3rd Generation (3G) mobile. 3G is soon arriving
in Japan but may happen elsewhere only in 2002-03. In all the talk about 3G, the
importance of 2.5G technologies like General Packet Radio Service (GPRS) seems
to have been underplayed. It offers significant data applications (examples
include news headlines, sports scores and traffic updates) in a channel separate
from voice calls, in an "always-on" mode, and is definitely way ahead
of Wireless Access Protocol (WAP) in performance. Currently, WAP enabled GSM
phones are being used to access the web and to send/receive data, but suffer
from sluggish performance (slow and dropped connections), high airtime cost and
limited content–making the experience not such a pleasant and fruitful one.
Data Friendly Packet Switching
GPRS
is based on "packet switching" (as against "circuit
switching" used by GSM) and is technically capable of delivering 144-170
Kbps. However, the more realistic speeds could initially be 53.6—115 Kbps. The
2.5G’s "always-on" web-access capability, coupled with much faster
data speeds, makes the wireless web experience far easier and more pleasant.
However, users will have to buy new GPRS capable phones/devices to take
advantage of that. It also has the ability to allow operators to charge/bill
users based on the amount of data sent/received per month, as against the time
spent online. As per a survey, a new 2.5G service could boost an operator’s
Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) by 35 percent, depending on the services
introduced. The likely moneymaking services include instant messaging, games and
many business services. The whole business model is thus undergoing a change.
For mobile networks, as voice
becomes a commodity, data would be the differentiator to fight competition.
The Internet and mobile phone revolutions are fast converging into the world
of Mobile Data. Various demand estimates of packet data point in that direction.
Some of them are–Ovum: 407 million users in 2004, ARC: 803 million users in
2005, Mobile Lifestreams: 400 million users in 2004, EMC: 165 million users in
2004. It is reported that 5 billion SMS messages were sent in December.
Why go for GPRS?
Due
to the high costs involved in 3G deployment — in the infrastructure as well as
the new spectrum — the GSM operators are looking towards GPRS. GPRS offers the
simple evolution path for a GSM network upgrading the same infrastructure and
using the same spectrum. With BTSs being GPRS compatible, the key addition is
GPRS Support Nodes (cost of upgrade being only marginal).
Thus, there are many benefits in moving to GPRS till 3G issues are resolved:
-
GPRS shares the same radio
resources as GSM (however, in congested cells with a high number of voice
users, the GPRS throughput or data rate may be significantly less than
expected). -
GPRS can deliver the SMS traffic
more efficiently, thereby taking the load off the GSM network. -
GPRS makes use of existing GSM
infrastructure; and being largely a software and architecture process is
easy to implement. GPRS is able to use existing BTS locations with coverage
similar to voice (upto 2 or 3 dB degradation in signal strength). -
It will provide vital experience
in delivering/billing data, a skill required to go to 3G. However, the first
generation GPRS may not support Mobile Terminated GPRS. If the service
provider charges for content delivery, one has to address the issue of
unauthorized content such as advertisements or junk e-mail.
As a wireless solution for the Internet, 2.5G is thus
expected to be far simpler, less costly to implement, and a more satisfying
experience for the user.
Some of the Indian GSM operators are almost concurrent with
those elsewhere (like in Europe and Asia-Pacific) in announcing the
implementation of GPRS.
Learning from the WAP Experience
After WAP’s lack-luster performance, 2.5G may act like
testing or preparation ground for 3G. For instance, the number of WAP users in
Delhi is believed to be less than ten thousand, out of a total cellular
subscriber base of 5.5 lakhs. However, against i-mode’s super success in
Japan, this is difficult to comprehend. Non-availability of WAP handsets is
attributed as a key reason but the WAP experience in already congested networks
is not a very happy one. GPRS will have to address these issues in advance.
The WAP experience has shown that new products are not easy
to launch and can take much longer than expected. Just like GSM, GPRS requires
full agreement on the standards (Release 29/Release 31) as well as
inter-operability & compatibility of GPRS infrastructure and devices.
Another thing to learn from the WAP experience is not to
over-hype the customer expectation. It is critical to tailor the marketing
messages to the product capability. As GPRS cannot replicate the desktop
Internet experience, expectations have to be realistic. This brings in the need
to educate/prepare the customer in advance. Ultimately, the delivery can be
better than the promise.
Different Skill Sets
Besides differences in applications, positioning, pricing and
market segmentation, GPRS requires different skills compared to GSM’s voice
networks. GPRS provides IP delivery as the Internet drives the services used
over GPRS. It therefore requires new technical expertise in IP in addition to
GSM. The IP security subject is vastly different and the IP experience is in
great demand.
GSM taught us that quality and security are two prime
customer considerations and GPRS will not be any different. Customers will
expect from GPRS, a performance quality just like their current
Internet-experience on other devices like desktops. Market success requires not
only simple, easy to use applications but also end-to-end security. Though GSM
is secure, the Internet is not! These issues need to be addressed also.
Partnership Opportunity
Partnerships with Content/Application Providers are becoming
the key to success in the market place. We can learn a lot from "i-mode"
in moving towards mutually beneficial partnerships with content providers, as
operators cannot afford anymore to "go it alone." Need for
personalized content is becoming increasingly critical.
The Terminal Story
GPRS has been in planning for a long time and the delay is
mainly attributed to non-availability of GPRS compatible handsets. Reasons cited
are related to performance and stability. Various other customer needs to be met
include screen size and color resolution, voice/PDA evolution, speed, battery
life, etc. The complexity is likely to make them expensive. Though some models
have appeared now, mass delivery of handsets is expected in the fourth quarter
2001 (3G models are expected to arrive a year later).
From 2.5G GPRS to 3G UMTS
Ultimately, 3G UMTS is planned as a natural evolution path
for GSM operators. Most of the core network elements of GSM and GPRS are likely
to be used for the UMTS network, with core network components like SGSNs and
MSCs being upgraded to 3G capabilities. The databases (HLR) and
services/features servers will also be updated for new 3G subscribers and
services.
3G/UMTS’s unique Virtual Home Environment (VHE) is expected
to allow the multi-system user to experience a common look and feel interface
and a common service execution in all the visited networks. These services will
be personalized for the user, based on the user’s needs. For instance: share
prices, home shopping and travel information, personal banking, video and audio
applications, call control and management and dynamic preferred services tariff
selection.
The key to success would be innovative marketing of
data/Internet services on mobile. But going by the Japanese experience, that
should not be difficult. Some believe that 2.5G may even delay 3G’s arrival.
However, 3G will ultimately prevail because it offers data connection speeds up
to 10 times faster than 2.5G, permitting zippy services such as wireless
videophones and digital music players.
Niraj K Gupta www.telecombyNirajGupta.com