Though 3G technologies like EVDO, HSDPA, and WCDMA have created waves across
the globe, 3G's yet to make a success story in India. Because, when it comes to
introducing a new technology in our country, rather than taking steps for its
fast deployment, time is lost in needless discussions. And, by the time the
technology is ready to be used, it would most probably have become obsolete in
other countries. Something similar appears to be happening with the deployment
of 3G in India. For the last many months, this technology has been a point of
discussion in India, even as developed countries deploy 3.5G and are already
considering 4G.
Advanced wireless technologies like 3G are expected to drive broadband growth
in the country. 3G technology could be used to make broadband available to the
masses in India as each subscriber would automatically become a broadband
enabled subscriber. It is a well-known fact that broadband penetration is very
low in India and that the rollout of wired broadband will entail humongous cost.
Under these circumstances, 3G is the most cost effective route to deliver mobile
broadband to the masses. However, efforts by the government for deploying 3G
services in India are not satisfactory.
The regulatory and pricing policies depend on the availability of spectrum.
The government should make sure that the required spectrum, which is currently
held by the defense sector, is released and that sufficient spectrum is
available for the quick roll out of services. The successful rollout of 3G
services depends on a host of variables that include licensing terms, spectrum
allocation, competitive pricing, market players and access networks, and the
government should concentrate on addressing these issues.
Paving a Way with 3G
Rural India is yet to see a surge in computers, and Internet access is still
a dream. However, with mobile penetration fairly high even in rural India, it
seems 3G services on mobile handsets will bring Internet access to rural India,
thus paving the way to bridge the digital divide.
3G is the best option in rural areas, especially because of a path
loss exponent greater than 4.2 and it is economically viable. In rural areas, 3G
will cater to e-agriculture, e-Governance, e-health, and e-education so that
these services can be included while formulating policies. But, the broader
picture still reveals that 3G rollout is focused in metros. 3G technologies can
be deployed on a large scale only if handsets are affordable. Initiatives such
as e-education, e-medicine, and e-Governance will boost rollout. Also, the
content for such information should be in local languages.
Worldwide Growth of GSM and 3GSM (WCDMA) |
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Feb'06 | Mar'06 | April '06 | May'06 | June '06 | July '06 | Aug'06 | Sep'06 | Oct'06 | Nov'06 | Dec'06 | Jan'07 | Feb'07 | Mar'07 |
|
WCDMA |
56.2 | 60.1 | 63.8 | 67.2 | 71.0 | 75.2 | 79.5 | 83.6 | 88.4 | 93.5 | 98.1 | 102.5 | 107.4 | 113.5 |
CDMA1*EVDO |
28.7 | 30.8 | 32.9 | 34.8 | 36.9 | 39.3 | 41.9 | 44.4 | 46.9 | 49.6 | 52.2 | 52.6 | 57.1 | 59.3 |
Ericsson has launched the Gramjyoti Rural Broadband Project, an initiative to
introduce benefits of the WCDMA/HSPA technology in rural India and connect
communities to high-speed Internet services for the first time. Initial
subsidies for 3G handsets, amiable spectrum pricing, a killer application, and
rapid influx of 3G content providers can play a vital role in pushing the 3G
technology in rural areas. Building an efficient and affordable WCDMA/HSPA rural
broadband can help serve as a blueprint for the widespread introduction of
Internet and broadband connectivity in the future.
Parag Kar, senior director, Government Affairs, Qualcomm India and SAARC |
|
“The fundamental value proposition of 3G CDMA is voice efficiency and the ability to simultaneously support voice and broadband services” |
Players' Feedback
Operators in India are waiting for government approval to rollout 3G mobile
services. A number of operators are keen to begin 3G services once the
government is ready to offer 3G spectrum.
Parag Kar, senior director, Government Affairs, Qualcomm India and SAARC
says, “3G CDMA technologies are time-tested, well positioned to provide
broadband Internet access to the Indian rural market. The fundamental value
proposition of 3G CDMA is voice efficiency and the ability to simultaneously
support voice and broadband services.”
3G CDMA can be deployed at an incremental cost to existing deployments and
can leverage existing technology investments of operators with lower cost and
time. “The 3G CDMA ecosystem enables greater diversity and economies of scale
which potentially brings socio-economic benefits to local communities,” Kar
says.
Ajay Ranjan Mishra, head, Business Development, New Growth Markets, Nokia
Siemens Networks, says, “We strongly believe that WCDMA/HSPA and WiMax are not
competing technologies-they actually complement each other. No one technology is
superior and it's only the environment, application, and business case that are
the key deciding factors for choosing the appropriate technology.”
“For example, operators who are already committed to SM/EDGE/WCDMA/HSPA/LTE
(3GPP Evolution) by having deployed GSM/EDGE networks may find it most efficient
to offer broadband access and higher voice capacity through WCDMA/HSPA/LTE.
Moreover, this would be very advantageous for end-users as the majority of
high-end terminals in the market already support WCDMA/HSPA,” says Mishra.
Some of the Chinese operators are in the process of introducing 3G aimed at
the masses. China Unicom, which now operates a CDMA2000-1X network, is ready to
rollout services based on CDMA2000-1X EV-DO, which offers much faster data speed
than its current network. Indian operators, Reliance Communications and Tata
Teleservices, are also waiting for the go ahead to rollout 3G services based on
EV-DO. Indian telecom operators see good business sense in 3G investments as
long as the RoI is realized.
Eamonn Kearns, VP, Sales, Asia Pacific, Dialogic, says, “Mobile operators in
China are in the process of conducting 3G trial runs. They may address the mass
market, and the likely launch of 3G services would happen during the Beijing
Olympics. Since Chinese customers have disposable income, it would be a major
breakthrough in China.”
The 3G technology is the natural evolution of 2G services as it will
facilitate higher speed and data throughputs enabling the delivery of a wide
range of multimedia services such as video streaming, movie downloads, and
mobile TV. It offers 4-5 times the voice capacity of a 2G spectrum, and thus 3G
is a cost effective tool to deliver voice.
The Global Scene
The global environment with respect to 3G is presently not too encouraging
due to bulky investments made by service providers coupled with poor revenue
visibility for their telecom operations. 3G take-up has been modest but slow
across continents. In Japan and South Korea, 3G was introduced in 2002 and was
fully functional by 2005. Mobile operators in Europe spent $129 bn to buy
licenses for 3G networks, but still people still continue to use their mobile
phones just as they did in 2000.
The failure of 3G in European countries is attributable to the very high cost
of spectrum. In Germany and the UK, the astronomical price of 3G spectrum
resulted in little money remaining for the infrastructure that then needed to be
built. As of July 31, 2007, there are reportedly 522 mn 3G CDMA subscribers.
China is fast adapting to changing politics and technology. A telecom law and 3G
can unleash the market for value-added services and rural telephony. 3G
continues to be a focal point of the industry as the two fixed line carriers are
expected to enter into the mobile market via 3G licensing and industry
restructuring.
Eamonn Kearns, VP, Sales, Asia Pacific, Dialogic |
|
“The likely launch of 3G services would happen during the Beijing Olympics. Since Chinese customers have disposable income, it would be a major breakthrough in China” |
Indian Roadblocks
Policy Issues: In India, just over 30% of the population is exposed to
cellular mobile signals. So, the first priority will be to cover the remaining
70% with cellular services and then look for a 3G market. Availability of
sufficient spectrum is a major issue for 3G technology to grow. The regulatory
and pricing policies depend on the availability of spectrum. Entrepreneurs will
have to take decisions on a variety of technologies with regard to the nature of
demand in India, possibility of rural coverage, cost of available handsets,
interconnection and regulatory issues. The regulators should not adopt a
fragmented approach for framing policies. Similarly, the licensor should keep
spectrum charges to a minimum, so that the new technology will help in expanding
to rural areas.
TRAI'S latest recommendations suggest a minimum of 5 MHz radio frequency for
3G services, apart from an additional spectrum in the 1800 MHz, 900 MHz and 800
MHz for both GSM and CDMA operators. TRAI has also suggested opening up the 450
MHz band for use in semi-urban and rural areas.
Handset Price: Indian consumers are highly price sensitive. The problem is
that 3G devices and services are typically part of the premium (high-price)
services in developed countries, while they have to be offered at very
affordable prices if they are to take off in rural areas. The cost of handsets
has traditionally been a major deterrent in easy adoption of 3G. In a
price-sensitive market like India, it becomes even more relevant and should be
considered before rolling out ambitious 3G plans. A mere 10% of handsets in
India are 3G compatible. Though few handsets are starting at Rs 4,000, there are
currently no products available in the sub Rs 4,000 range. People, especially in
rural areas, cannot afford such expensive handsets.
LG Electronics offers low-cost handsets for 3G mobile phone networks. The
handset will cost around $100, breaking through an important price barrier which
is expected to boost sales of 3G phones. Most 3G phones are currently much more
expensive. Slow sales of devices have held back usage of 3G network services
such as mobile Internet, email, and video. There are already more than 120
different HSPA handsets available worldwide and that figure is set to rise
dramatically as operators rollout new models for the peak Christmas season in
Europe and the US. Vodafone, for example, has announced that it will add ten new
HSPA models to its handset range. Globally, prices of 3G handsets are declining
and by 2008 the prices of 3G compatible handsets are expected to be half.
The Way Ahead
3G may be an attractive proposition in revenue generating urban areas, but
if it fails to tap the rural market, it cannot be the way of the future, given
that the largest part of our population lives in these areas. The most
propitious benefit of 3G would be bridging the digital divide between urban and
rural India. WCDMA/HSPA technology can be a major catalyst for social and
economic empowerment in the developing region, helping to bridge the digital
divide and increase productivity and quality of life.
Arpita Prem
arpitap@cybermedia.co.in